PE&RS March 2016 full version - page 197

with the development and application of new modeling ap-
proaches. With the increased use of non-parametric modeling
and classification approaches increased effort is required to
provide uncertainty approaches for machine learning tech-
niques. We developed a relatively straightforward approach
to approximate prediction uncertainty for continuous maps
developed from random forest models, tested the approach in
a simulation environment and provided a case example. The
results were reasonable but the method typically provided
conservative confidence intervals for new observation. The
approach is applicable to a broad range mapping efforts that
use random forest models. This general approach may also be
applicable to other ensemble modeling techniques.
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(Received 25 January 2015; accepted 12 May 2015; final ver-
sion 21 September 2015)
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